Adrian Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Worthington 2 Nne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 153 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 23, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 17 | May 15 | May 12 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 28°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 20°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 16°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 146 | 141 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 124 | 117 |
| 32°F | 172 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 140 | 134 |
| 28°F | 194 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 155 |
| 24°F | 215 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 175 |
| 20°F | 233 | 225 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 189 |
| 16°F | 250 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 211 | 205 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,066
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 588
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,441
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,437
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,542
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,765
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,109
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,582 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,303 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,071 | 0 | 8 |
| April | 635 | 2 | 55 |
| May | 284 | 33 | 254 |
| June | 51 | 138 | 537 |
| July | 14 | 212 | 663 |
| August | 33 | 144 | 577 |
| September | 175 | 54 | 343 |
| October | 545 | 5 | 95 |
| November | 975 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,400 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 28.4 km from Adrian. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00219170 (Worthington 2 Nne). Public domain.