Oxford Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pontiac Wwtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 177 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 138 |
| 32°F | 195 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 158 |
| 28°F | 218 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 180 |
| 24°F | 243 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 204 |
| 20°F | 266 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 |
| 16°F | 288 | 281 | 276 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,474
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 720
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,948
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,841
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,869
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,025
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,306
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,265 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,089 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 923 | 1 | 17 |
| April | 543 | 3 | 70 |
| May | 223 | 43 | 304 |
| June | 39 | 141 | 552 |
| July | 6 | 242 | 700 |
| August | 12 | 206 | 659 |
| September | 116 | 80 | 417 |
| October | 427 | 5 | 131 |
| November | 758 | 0 | 18 |
| December | 1,074 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.7 km from Oxford. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00206658 (Pontiac Wwtp). Public domain.