Madison Heights Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Detroit City AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 190 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 1, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first November 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 |
| 16°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 17 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 187 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 153 | 146 |
| 32°F | 208 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 171 |
| 28°F | 234 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 196 |
| 24°F | 260 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 216 |
| 20°F | 281 | 272 | 268 | 263 | 259 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 235 |
| 16°F | 302 | 293 | 288 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,106
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 854
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,253
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,103
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,094
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,216
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,467
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,206 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,036 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 880 | 1 | 18 |
| April | 511 | 4 | 84 |
| May | 213 | 47 | 313 |
| June | 33 | 174 | 591 |
| July | 2 | 287 | 750 |
| August | 7 | 241 | 699 |
| September | 89 | 91 | 453 |
| October | 381 | 10 | 158 |
| November | 711 | 0 | 25 |
| December | 1,038 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.6 km from Madison Heights. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014822 (Detroit City AP). Public domain.