Luce County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Newberry Correctional Facility. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 21 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 135 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 2, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 21, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 21 | Jun 13 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 28 | May 25 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 9 | May 4 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 133 | 125 | 120 | 116 | 111 | 107 | 102 | 96 | 87 |
| 32°F | 159 | 151 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 121 | 115 |
| 28°F | 185 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 153 | 147 | 138 |
| 24°F | 211 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 174 | 166 |
| 20°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 194 |
| 16°F | 252 | 246 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 217 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,620
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 222
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,439
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,525
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,739
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,078
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 564
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,503 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,315 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,192 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 792 | 0 | 14 |
| May | 436 | 5 | 126 |
| June | 150 | 33 | 339 |
| July | 65 | 88 | 488 |
| August | 76 | 71 | 460 |
| September | 238 | 25 | 259 |
| October | 605 | 1 | 49 |
| November | 941 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,308 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.4 km from Luce County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00205816 (Newberry Correctional Facility). Public domain.