Lambertville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dundee. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 176 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 135 |
| 32°F | 193 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 156 |
| 28°F | 217 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 178 |
| 24°F | 243 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 214 | 210 | 204 |
| 20°F | 268 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 228 | 223 |
| 16°F | 288 | 279 | 274 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 242 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,373
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 732
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,025
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,903
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,915
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,057
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,325
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,249 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,071 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 911 | 1 | 17 |
| April | 533 | 3 | 77 |
| May | 223 | 39 | 297 |
| June | 34 | 156 | 572 |
| July | 4 | 258 | 719 |
| August | 10 | 194 | 649 |
| September | 104 | 72 | 421 |
| October | 414 | 9 | 139 |
| November | 744 | 0 | 21 |
| December | 1,077 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.1 km from Lambertville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00202308 (Dundee). Public domain.