Inkster Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dearborn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 166 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 28°F | May 7 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 165 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 128 |
| 32°F | 186 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 147 |
| 28°F | 211 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 169 |
| 24°F | 237 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 201 | 194 |
| 20°F | 262 | 255 | 248 | 244 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 226 | 219 |
| 16°F | 284 | 276 | 271 | 265 | 261 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 240 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,366
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 736
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,010
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,889
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,901
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,047
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,323
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,244 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,064 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 906 | 1 | 16 |
| April | 525 | 3 | 79 |
| May | 233 | 39 | 289 |
| June | 43 | 147 | 556 |
| July | 6 | 247 | 707 |
| August | 11 | 206 | 660 |
| September | 106 | 84 | 431 |
| October | 416 | 8 | 141 |
| November | 741 | 0 | 19 |
| December | 1,071 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.6 km from Inkster. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00202015 (Dearborn). Public domain.