Goodrich Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Goodrich. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 164 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 11, first October 2
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 22, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 160 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 129 | 123 |
| 32°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 143 |
| 28°F | 207 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 173 | 166 |
| 24°F | 231 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 193 |
| 20°F | 256 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 214 |
| 16°F | 276 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 253 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 232 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,900
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 544
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,572
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,496
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,561
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,753
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,071
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,311 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,128 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 976 | 1 | 15 |
| April | 592 | 1 | 59 |
| May | 268 | 30 | 259 |
| June | 60 | 109 | 500 |
| July | 19 | 183 | 629 |
| August | 23 | 153 | 595 |
| September | 144 | 60 | 372 |
| October | 465 | 6 | 113 |
| November | 788 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 1,127 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.3 km from Goodrich. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00203278 (Goodrich). Public domain.