Frankenmuth Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Vassar. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 21 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 28°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 24°F | May 4 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 147 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 124 | 120 | 115 | 109 |
| 32°F | 169 | 164 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 136 | 130 |
| 28°F | 192 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 158 | 151 |
| 24°F | 217 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 176 |
| 20°F | 244 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 203 |
| 16°F | 268 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 237 | 232 | 225 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,234
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 451
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,312
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,274
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,371
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,592
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 940
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,365 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,182 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 1,022 | 0 | 12 |
| April | 628 | 1 | 49 |
| May | 304 | 22 | 224 |
| June | 69 | 93 | 475 |
| July | 23 | 161 | 603 |
| August | 33 | 121 | 553 |
| September | 166 | 48 | 338 |
| October | 489 | 5 | 103 |
| November | 819 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 1,135 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.1 km from Frankenmuth. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00208443 (Vassar). Public domain.