Dollar Bay Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jacobsville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 1 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 115 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 14, first September 11
- Median at 32°F
- last June 1, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 14, first October 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 5 | Jun 27 | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 29 |
| 32°F | Jun 17 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 14 |
| 28°F | Jun 4 | May 29 | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 27 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 110 | 103 | 96 | 92 | 88 | 83 | 78 | 71 | 61 |
| 32°F | 134 | 128 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 106 | 102 | 94 |
| 28°F | 167 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 140 | 135 | 129 | 121 |
| 24°F | 196 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 159 | 153 |
| 20°F | 222 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 190 | 183 |
| 16°F | 239 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 205 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,238
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 137
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,964
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,106
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,387
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 811
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 390
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,509 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,345 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,279 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 857 | 0 | 6 |
| May | 532 | 2 | 75 |
| June | 243 | 15 | 238 |
| July | 98 | 59 | 427 |
| August | 114 | 45 | 397 |
| September | 294 | 15 | 204 |
| October | 658 | 1 | 37 |
| November | 977 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,333 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.8 km from Dollar Bay. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00204161 (Jacobsville). Public domain.