Crawford County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grayling. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 27, a growing season of about 124 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first September 14
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 27
- Median at 28°F
- last May 10, first October 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 | May 21 |
| 32°F | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 6 |
| 28°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 28 | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 |
| 28°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 121 | 113 | 108 | 103 | 99 | 94 | 88 | 81 | 71 |
| 32°F | 146 | 139 | 133 | 129 | 124 | 120 | 115 | 110 | 104 |
| 28°F | 172 | 165 | 160 | 155 | 151 | 146 | 142 | 137 | 129 |
| 24°F | 199 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 161 | 154 |
| 20°F | 222 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 178 |
| 16°F | 242 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,228
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 353
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,779
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,830
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,013
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,317
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 752
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,461 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,296 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,150 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 727 | 1 | 31 |
| May | 368 | 22 | 189 |
| June | 113 | 74 | 415 |
| July | 46 | 128 | 547 |
| August | 66 | 95 | 494 |
| September | 240 | 30 | 263 |
| October | 592 | 3 | 63 |
| November | 917 | 0 | 6 |
| December | 1,252 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.8 km from Crawford County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00203391 (Grayling). Public domain.