Constantine Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Three Rivers. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 170 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 19, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 148 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 129 |
| 32°F | 189 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 148 |
| 28°F | 211 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 179 | 172 |
| 24°F | 239 | 232 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 198 |
| 20°F | 264 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 218 |
| 16°F | 286 | 277 | 271 | 266 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 245 | 237 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,602
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 615
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,776
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,679
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,716
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,878
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,173
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,272 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,089 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 917 | 0 | 17 |
| April | 544 | 4 | 79 |
| May | 241 | 40 | 288 |
| June | 48 | 135 | 537 |
| July | 10 | 209 | 663 |
| August | 20 | 161 | 606 |
| September | 135 | 61 | 382 |
| October | 449 | 5 | 122 |
| November | 776 | 0 | 18 |
| December | 1,102 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.2 km from Constantine. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00208184 (Three Rivers). Public domain.