Chums Corner Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Traverse City Munson. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 156 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 22, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 7 |
| 32°F | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 145 | 140 | 136 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 113 |
| 32°F | 177 | 171 | 165 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 148 | 144 | 138 |
| 28°F | 201 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 174 | 169 | 162 |
| 24°F | 229 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 189 |
| 20°F | 251 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 210 |
| 16°F | 273 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 250 | 246 | 241 | 235 | 229 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,610
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 399
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,001
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,022
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,173
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,443
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 841
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,347 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,205 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,084 | 1 | 8 |
| April | 714 | 1 | 35 |
| May | 366 | 16 | 180 |
| June | 107 | 73 | 418 |
| July | 31 | 152 | 586 |
| August | 38 | 116 | 542 |
| September | 183 | 37 | 314 |
| October | 525 | 4 | 83 |
| November | 846 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,164 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.9 km from Chums Corner. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00208249 (Traverse City Munson). Public domain.