Caspian Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stambaugh 2SSE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 4 and the first fall freeze around September 10, a growing season of about 95 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 4, first September 10
- Median at 28°F
- last May 23, first September 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 26 | Jun 18 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 |
| 28°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 |
| 24°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 20°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 21 | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 |
| 28°F | Sep 7 | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
| 24°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 20°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 16°F | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 88 | 77 | 70 | 63 | 58 | 52 | 46 | 40 | 32 |
| 32°F | 118 | 111 | 105 | 100 | 95 | 90 | 84 | 75 | 66 |
| 28°F | 145 | 138 | 133 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 114 | 108 | 100 |
| 24°F | 169 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 145 | 141 | 135 | 127 |
| 20°F | 194 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 158 | 151 |
| 16°F | 216 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 196 | 192 | 186 | 182 | 174 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,776
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 151
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,023
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,169
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,442
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 851
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 417
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,682 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,462 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,299 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 843 | 0 | 13 |
| May | 452 | 8 | 127 |
| June | 181 | 33 | 312 |
| July | 102 | 62 | 426 |
| August | 146 | 36 | 357 |
| September | 341 | 13 | 174 |
| October | 718 | 0 | 30 |
| November | 1,074 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,476 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1 km from Caspian. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00207812 (Stambaugh 2SSE). Public domain.