Cadillac Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cadillac. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 19 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 135 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 19, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last May 5, first October 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 14 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 16 |
| 32°F | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 |
| 28°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 24°F | May 10 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 16°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 31 | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 133 | 126 | 120 | 116 | 112 | 107 | 102 | 95 | 86 |
| 32°F | 159 | 150 | 144 | 139 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 121 | 113 |
| 28°F | 185 | 177 | 171 | 166 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 146 | 137 |
| 24°F | 211 | 203 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 172 | 164 |
| 20°F | 234 | 228 | 222 | 217 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 16°F | 254 | 247 | 243 | 237 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 220 | 214 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,852
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 401
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,954
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,981
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,137
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,418
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 830
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,410 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,229 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,098 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 697 | 1 | 35 |
| May | 349 | 21 | 197 |
| June | 98 | 86 | 441 |
| July | 36 | 149 | 578 |
| August | 57 | 105 | 513 |
| September | 216 | 36 | 288 |
| October | 566 | 3 | 72 |
| November | 884 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,212 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.6 km from Cadillac. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014817 (Cadillac). Public domain.