Auburn Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Saginaw Mbs Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 172 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 163 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 130 |
| 32°F | 193 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 151 |
| 28°F | 217 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 182 | 173 |
| 24°F | 242 | 234 | 228 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 202 |
| 20°F | 267 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 223 |
| 16°F | 285 | 277 | 271 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 239 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,781
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 631
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,716
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,637
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,693
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,872
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,180
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,303 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,132 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 962 | 1 | 13 |
| April | 574 | 2 | 61 |
| May | 253 | 41 | 275 |
| June | 47 | 140 | 543 |
| July | 9 | 216 | 673 |
| August | 19 | 165 | 611 |
| September | 136 | 60 | 379 |
| October | 447 | 7 | 121 |
| November | 780 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 1,119 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.8 km from Auburn. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014845 (Saginaw Mbs Intl AP). Public domain.