Spencer Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Worcester Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 181 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 139 |
| 32°F | 198 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 160 |
| 28°F | 222 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 185 |
| 24°F | 245 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 206 |
| 20°F | 265 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 244 | 241 | 237 | 232 | 226 |
| 16°F | 284 | 277 | 271 | 267 | 263 | 259 | 255 | 249 | 242 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,623
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 502
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,553
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,451
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,494
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,680
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,013
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,249 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,064 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 946 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 570 | 3 | 61 |
| May | 278 | 21 | 231 |
| June | 78 | 84 | 457 |
| July | 12 | 190 | 643 |
| August | 20 | 153 | 598 |
| September | 139 | 47 | 362 |
| October | 451 | 3 | 109 |
| November | 744 | 0 | 21 |
| December | 1,071 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.2 km from Spencer. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094746 (Worcester Rgnl AP). Public domain.