Osterville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hyannis. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 25 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 152 |
| 32°F | 215 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 175 |
| 28°F | 241 | 235 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 209 | 203 |
| 24°F | 269 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 |
| 20°F | 293 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 270 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 246 |
| 16°F | 314 | 307 | 302 | 297 | 291 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 267 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,819
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 494
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,729
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,530
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,518
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,680
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,006
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,068 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 935 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 871 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 573 | 0 | 31 |
| May | 310 | 5 | 178 |
| June | 85 | 62 | 428 |
| July | 7 | 198 | 656 |
| August | 11 | 169 | 623 |
| September | 92 | 56 | 415 |
| October | 359 | 4 | 152 |
| November | 615 | 0 | 31 |
| December | 893 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8 km from Osterville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00193821 (Hyannis). Public domain.