Norfolk Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Walpole 2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 169 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 9, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 13, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 32°F | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 166 | 159 | 154 | 151 | 148 | 145 | 140 | 136 | 129 |
| 32°F | 189 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 150 |
| 28°F | 215 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 24°F | 242 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 217 | 211 | 207 | 200 |
| 20°F | 266 | 258 | 252 | 248 | 243 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 222 |
| 16°F | 290 | 282 | 275 | 271 | 266 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,884
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 727
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,115
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,939
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,916
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,040
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,309
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,139 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 970 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 848 | 1 | 13 |
| April | 499 | 4 | 80 |
| May | 223 | 30 | 284 |
| June | 49 | 126 | 527 |
| July | 4 | 263 | 724 |
| August | 9 | 218 | 674 |
| September | 100 | 78 | 430 |
| October | 390 | 7 | 145 |
| November | 675 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 976 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.9 km from Norfolk. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00198757 (Walpole 2). Public domain.