Lee Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lenox Dale. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 147 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 20, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last April 27, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 6 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 28°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 144 | 139 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 122 | 118 | 113 | 107 |
| 32°F | 164 | 158 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 128 |
| 28°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 150 |
| 24°F | 215 | 209 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 172 |
| 20°F | 241 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 198 |
| 16°F | 263 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 232 | 227 | 221 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,246
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 405
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,181
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,149
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,253
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,491
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 867
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,328 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,135 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,014 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 632 | 2 | 43 |
| May | 301 | 19 | 215 |
| June | 88 | 73 | 436 |
| July | 18 | 156 | 603 |
| August | 30 | 120 | 555 |
| September | 187 | 34 | 307 |
| October | 526 | 2 | 78 |
| November | 833 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,155 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.5 km from Lee. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00194131 (Lenox Dale). Public domain.