Brimfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for E Brimfield Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 169 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 11, first October 4
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 13, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 9 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 166 | 160 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 140 | 135 | 128 |
| 32°F | 190 | 182 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 155 | 148 |
| 28°F | 215 | 208 | 202 | 197 | 194 | 190 | 184 | 178 | 170 |
| 24°F | 239 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 195 |
| 20°F | 263 | 255 | 248 | 243 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 224 | 215 |
| 16°F | 283 | 275 | 270 | 265 | 260 | 256 | 252 | 246 | 240 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,566
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 523
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,579
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,470
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,517
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,707
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,038
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,235 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 1,071 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 946 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 566 | 2 | 55 |
| May | 272 | 19 | 232 |
| June | 73 | 93 | 471 |
| July | 10 | 196 | 651 |
| August | 19 | 155 | 601 |
| September | 136 | 53 | 372 |
| October | 458 | 4 | 104 |
| November | 729 | 0 | 19 |
| December | 1,051 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.3 km from Brimfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00192107 (E Brimfield Lake). Public domain.