Willards Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Salisbury Wicomico Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 26, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 29 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 198 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 162 | 155 |
| 32°F | 221 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 186 | 177 |
| 28°F | 250 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 204 |
| 24°F | 277 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 228 |
| 20°F | 311 | 302 | 293 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 262 | 252 |
| 16°F | 342 | 330 | 324 | 317 | 310 | 305 | 299 | 291 | 280 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 97% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,210
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,301
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,701
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,296
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,056
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,979
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,062
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 876 | 0 | 16 |
| February | 737 | 0 | 17 |
| March | 614 | 2 | 61 |
| April | 319 | 22 | 199 |
| May | 122 | 85 | 430 |
| June | 16 | 248 | 683 |
| July | 0 | 400 | 865 |
| August | 1 | 337 | 801 |
| September | 30 | 171 | 591 |
| October | 235 | 34 | 281 |
| November | 505 | 2 | 84 |
| December | 757 | 1 | 30 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.2 km from Willards. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093720 (Salisbury Wicomico Rgnl AP). Public domain.