Preston Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Royal Oak 2 Ssw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 1 and the first fall freeze around November 7, a growing season of about 220 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 29
- Median at 32°F
- last April 1, first November 7
- Median at 28°F
- last March 20, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 3 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 24°F | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 32°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
| 24°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 |
| 20°F | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 |
| 16°F | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 18 | Jan 24 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 173 |
| 32°F | 240 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 202 |
| 28°F | 269 | 260 | 254 | 250 | 246 | 241 | 237 | 231 | 224 |
| 24°F | 299 | 290 | 284 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 263 | 258 | 248 |
| 20°F | 327 | 318 | 311 | 306 | 301 | 296 | 290 | 283 | 276 |
| 16°F | 362 | 347 | 336 | 332 | 325 | 318 | 311 | 306 | 296 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 91% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,972
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,473
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,045
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,613
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,342
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,230
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,276
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 870 | 0 | 12 |
| February | 729 | 0 | 13 |
| March | 578 | 2 | 65 |
| April | 269 | 22 | 229 |
| May | 81 | 106 | 490 |
| June | 6 | 294 | 738 |
| July | 0 | 437 | 902 |
| August | 0 | 377 | 842 |
| September | 23 | 197 | 624 |
| October | 198 | 37 | 313 |
| November | 472 | 2 | 92 |
| December | 746 | 0 | 22 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.4 km from Preston. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00187806 (Royal Oak 2 Ssw). Public domain.