Joppatowne Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Aberdeen Phillips Fld. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 24°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 |
| 16°F | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 197 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 154 |
| 32°F | 221 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 178 |
| 28°F | 247 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 206 |
| 24°F | 276 | 267 | 260 | 256 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 229 |
| 20°F | 305 | 295 | 289 | 284 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 254 |
| 16°F | 333 | 324 | 316 | 309 | 304 | 299 | 293 | 286 | 278 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,706
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,171
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,256
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,932
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,767
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,755
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,890
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 979 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 823 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 689 | 1 | 37 |
| April | 344 | 14 | 174 |
| May | 131 | 67 | 404 |
| June | 14 | 231 | 667 |
| July | 0 | 373 | 838 |
| August | 1 | 314 | 778 |
| September | 43 | 148 | 555 |
| October | 279 | 22 | 234 |
| November | 566 | 1 | 55 |
| December | 837 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.4 km from Joppatowne. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00013701 (Aberdeen Phillips Fld). Public domain.