Emmitsburg Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Emmitsburg 2 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 179 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 28°F | Oct 13 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 136 |
| 32°F | 200 | 194 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 158 |
| 28°F | 223 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 182 |
| 24°F | 251 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 211 | 204 |
| 20°F | 280 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 228 |
| 16°F | 305 | 297 | 291 | 285 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 263 | 253 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,239
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 914
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,682
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,429
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,329
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,380
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,575
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,049 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 900 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 749 | 1 | 26 |
| April | 404 | 8 | 133 |
| May | 162 | 52 | 360 |
| June | 23 | 177 | 605 |
| July | 1 | 306 | 770 |
| August | 4 | 252 | 713 |
| September | 71 | 104 | 484 |
| October | 334 | 15 | 187 |
| November | 633 | 0 | 37 |
| December | 910 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.9 km from Emmitsburg. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00182906 (Emmitsburg 2 Se). Public domain.