Chevy Chase Section Three Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dalecarlia Rsvr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 202 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 13 |
| 16°F | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 24°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 12 | Jan 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 198 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 170 | 164 | 157 |
| 32°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 181 |
| 28°F | 248 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 206 |
| 24°F | 280 | 270 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 234 | 226 |
| 20°F | 308 | 298 | 292 | 284 | 278 | 271 | 265 | 258 | 247 |
| 16°F | 336 | 326 | 317 | 311 | 305 | 301 | 294 | 287 | 274 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,506
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,338
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,569
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,224
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,035
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,990
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,091
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 955 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 788 | 0 | 10 |
| March | 649 | 2 | 53 |
| April | 305 | 23 | 213 |
| May | 107 | 97 | 458 |
| June | 13 | 265 | 702 |
| July | 0 | 406 | 871 |
| August | 2 | 351 | 814 |
| September | 38 | 166 | 579 |
| October | 262 | 26 | 255 |
| November | 559 | 1 | 59 |
| December | 829 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.6 km from Chevy Chase Section Three. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00182325 (Dalecarlia Rsvr). Public domain.