Chester Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stevensville 2SW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 29 and the first fall freeze around November 12, a growing season of about 228 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 7, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 29, first November 12
- Median at 28°F
- last March 18, first November 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 |
| 32°F | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 28°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 17 |
| 16°F | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 18 | Jan 24 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 225 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 32°F | 250 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 209 |
| 28°F | 275 | 267 | 261 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 238 | 231 |
| 24°F | 301 | 292 | 286 | 281 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 251 |
| 20°F | 324 | 315 | 308 | 304 | 300 | 296 | 291 | 284 | 276 |
| 16°F | 352 | 339 | 332 | 327 | 321 | 315 | 310 | 305 | 298 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 95% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,298
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,448
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,793
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,409
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,193
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,125
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,212
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 919 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 785 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 653 | 1 | 46 |
| April | 315 | 12 | 186 |
| May | 98 | 84 | 452 |
| June | 7 | 298 | 741 |
| July | 0 | 448 | 913 |
| August | 0 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 24 | 191 | 616 |
| October | 212 | 30 | 295 |
| November | 501 | 1 | 72 |
| December | 784 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.3 km from Chester. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00188557 (Stevensville 2SW). Public domain.