Cedarville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mechanicsville 5 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 17, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 184 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 32°F | 215 | 209 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 173 |
| 28°F | 242 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 198 |
| 24°F | 269 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 228 | 219 |
| 20°F | 298 | 289 | 282 | 276 | 271 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 245 |
| 16°F | 327 | 316 | 309 | 304 | 299 | 293 | 287 | 280 | 272 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,589
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,029
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,181
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,837
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,649
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,619
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,746
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 945 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 787 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 645 | 2 | 55 |
| April | 324 | 21 | 195 |
| May | 133 | 66 | 400 |
| June | 17 | 203 | 636 |
| July | 0 | 329 | 793 |
| August | 2 | 273 | 736 |
| September | 53 | 119 | 516 |
| October | 297 | 15 | 213 |
| November | 559 | 1 | 64 |
| December | 826 | 0 | 18 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.1 km from Cedarville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00185865 (Mechanicsville 5 Ne). Public domain.