Sherman Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Millinocket. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 147 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 22, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 |
| 32°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 24°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 142 | 137 | 132 | 129 | 125 | 122 | 118 | 114 | 108 |
| 32°F | 166 | 159 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 139 | 135 | 128 |
| 28°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 152 |
| 24°F | 214 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 20°F | 232 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 197 |
| 16°F | 251 | 243 | 239 | 235 | 232 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 215 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,503
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 286
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,652
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,716
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,908
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,223
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 671
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,578 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,365 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,200 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 758 | 0 | 11 |
| May | 392 | 6 | 136 |
| June | 125 | 48 | 375 |
| July | 27 | 116 | 553 |
| August | 46 | 92 | 511 |
| September | 217 | 23 | 270 |
| October | 589 | 0 | 48 |
| November | 905 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,302 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 33.1 km from Sherman. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00175304 (Millinocket). Public domain.