Minot Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lewiston. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 25 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 177 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 25, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 4 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 149 | 146 | 142 | 136 |
| 32°F | 198 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 159 |
| 28°F | 221 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 184 |
| 24°F | 243 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 224 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 208 |
| 20°F | 261 | 256 | 252 | 248 | 244 | 240 | 237 | 232 | 225 |
| 16°F | 276 | 271 | 266 | 262 | 259 | 255 | 252 | 246 | 241 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,271
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 485
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,297
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,268
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,366
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,596
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 968
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,395 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,186 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,040 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 635 | 0 | 27 |
| May | 301 | 11 | 198 |
| June | 80 | 79 | 449 |
| July | 11 | 192 | 646 |
| August | 15 | 164 | 614 |
| September | 152 | 39 | 341 |
| October | 485 | 1 | 83 |
| November | 804 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,169 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.4 km from Minot. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00174566 (Lewiston). Public domain.