Lincoln Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lincoln Sanitary District/wtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 153 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 17, first September 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 24, first October 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 |
| 20°F | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 16°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 147 | 142 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 114 |
| 32°F | 170 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 143 | 137 |
| 28°F | 195 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 157 |
| 24°F | 216 | 210 | 206 | 203 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 180 |
| 20°F | 236 | 230 | 226 | 223 | 219 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 202 |
| 16°F | 255 | 247 | 243 | 238 | 235 | 232 | 228 | 225 | 218 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,272
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 337
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,844
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,878
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,042
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,330
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 754
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,565 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,345 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,159 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 719 | 0 | 17 |
| May | 345 | 12 | 174 |
| June | 106 | 54 | 399 |
| July | 19 | 144 | 590 |
| August | 38 | 103 | 530 |
| September | 217 | 24 | 270 |
| October | 571 | 1 | 55 |
| November | 890 | 0 | 6 |
| December | 1,297 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.5 km from Lincoln. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00174683 (Lincoln Sanitary District/wtp). Public domain.