Jackman Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jackman. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 26 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 119 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 7, first September 8
- Median at 32°F
- last May 26, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 11, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 7 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 26 |
| 32°F | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 10 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 27 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 |
| 32°F | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 28°F | Sep 18 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 |
| 24°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 9 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 112 | 105 | 101 | 97 | 93 | 88 | 84 | 79 | 69 |
| 32°F | 140 | 133 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 106 | 99 |
| 28°F | 163 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 143 | 140 | 135 | 130 | 122 |
| 24°F | 187 | 180 | 174 | 171 | 167 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 147 |
| 20°F | 209 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 168 |
| 16°F | 229 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 212 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 194 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,508
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 156
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,115
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,248
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,507
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 896
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 437
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,668 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,455 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,305 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 857 | 0 | 6 |
| May | 471 | 4 | 99 |
| June | 185 | 28 | 299 |
| July | 73 | 67 | 459 |
| August | 95 | 44 | 414 |
| September | 296 | 13 | 199 |
| October | 678 | 0 | 28 |
| November | 1,004 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,423 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.7 km from Jackman. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00174086 (Jackman). Public domain.