Island Falls Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Patten 2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 13 and the first fall freeze around September 30, a growing season of about 138 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 27, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 13, first September 30
- Median at 28°F
- last May 1, first October 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 11 |
| 32°F | May 30 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 16°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
| 28°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
| 24°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 133 | 126 | 121 | 117 | 114 | 111 | 107 | 103 | 96 |
| 32°F | 157 | 150 | 145 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 124 | 117 |
| 28°F | 181 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 143 |
| 24°F | 206 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 167 |
| 20°F | 226 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 209 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 190 |
| 16°F | 243 | 237 | 233 | 229 | 226 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 208 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,033
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 180
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,278
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,384
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,613
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 973
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 485
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,621 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,382 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,238 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 804 | 0 | 9 |
| May | 432 | 4 | 113 |
| June | 165 | 28 | 318 |
| July | 55 | 75 | 485 |
| August | 79 | 59 | 445 |
| September | 276 | 13 | 211 |
| October | 647 | 1 | 31 |
| November | 968 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,367 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.6 km from Island Falls. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00176594 (Patten 2). Public domain.