Fayette Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Livermore Falls 1 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 11 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 138 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 23, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 11, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 10 |
| 32°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 16°F | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 |
| 24°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 18 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 137 | 130 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 110 | 106 | 99 |
| 32°F | 157 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 126 | 120 |
| 28°F | 181 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 141 |
| 24°F | 207 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 184 | 179 | 173 | 166 |
| 20°F | 228 | 222 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 204 | 199 | 192 |
| 16°F | 249 | 241 | 237 | 233 | 230 | 227 | 224 | 219 | 214 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,205
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 286
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,714
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,757
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,929
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,231
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 675
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,488 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,302 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,142 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 716 | 0 | 19 |
| May | 365 | 7 | 152 |
| June | 126 | 46 | 373 |
| July | 26 | 125 | 564 |
| August | 46 | 82 | 500 |
| September | 238 | 26 | 259 |
| October | 585 | 1 | 51 |
| November | 905 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,268 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.2 km from Fayette. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00174745 (Livermore Falls 1 E). Public domain.