Danforth Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Danforth. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 25 and the first fall freeze around September 24, a growing season of about 119 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 11
- Median at 32°F
- last May 25, first September 24
- Median at 28°F
- last May 11, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 20 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 28 | May 24 |
| 32°F | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 10 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 |
| 28°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 117 | 110 | 105 | 100 | 96 | 93 | 89 | 84 | 75 |
| 32°F | 138 | 132 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 110 | 106 | 98 |
| 28°F | 162 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 130 | 123 |
| 24°F | 189 | 182 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 161 | 155 | 149 |
| 20°F | 218 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 183 | 176 |
| 16°F | 240 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,950
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 206
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,315
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,411
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,649
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,012
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 523
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,599 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,410 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,217 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 783 | 0 | 7 |
| May | 445 | 4 | 109 |
| June | 161 | 38 | 333 |
| July | 59 | 83 | 490 |
| August | 78 | 65 | 453 |
| September | 274 | 15 | 220 |
| October | 639 | 0 | 35 |
| November | 935 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 1,351 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.5 km from Danforth. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00171833 (Danforth). Public domain.