Bradford Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dover-Foxcroft Wwtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 134 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 28, first September 18
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 15 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 |
| 24°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 129 | 124 | 119 | 116 | 113 | 109 | 105 | 102 | 96 |
| 32°F | 153 | 147 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 116 |
| 28°F | 176 | 170 | 164 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 138 |
| 24°F | 202 | 196 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 168 | 162 |
| 20°F | 226 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 204 | 200 | 194 | 187 |
| 16°F | 244 | 238 | 234 | 230 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 209 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,534
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 260
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,571
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,641
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,835
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,158
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 623
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,559 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,345 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,186 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 765 | 0 | 12 |
| May | 396 | 7 | 135 |
| June | 136 | 41 | 358 |
| July | 35 | 111 | 541 |
| August | 52 | 80 | 493 |
| September | 238 | 21 | 249 |
| October | 597 | 1 | 43 |
| November | 917 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,308 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 23.5 km from Bradford. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00171975 (Dover-Foxcroft Wwtp). Public domain.