Sunset Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grand Coteau. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 28 and the first fall freeze around November 23, a growing season of about 267 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 18, first November 13
- Median at 32°F
- last February 28, first November 23
- Median at 28°F
- last February 6, first December 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 |
| 32°F | Mar 25 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Jan 31 |
| 28°F | Mar 8 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 5 |
| 24°F | Feb 26 | Feb 14 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 2 | Dec 22 |
| 20°F | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 16 |
| 28°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Dec 2 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 19 | Jan 27 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 266 | 257 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 220 | 212 |
| 32°F | 301 | 289 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 253 | 247 | 237 |
| 28°F | 339 | 327 | 317 | 309 | 302 | 294 | 287 | 277 | 265 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 356 | 345 | 337 | 332 | 324 | 313 | 301 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 346 | 333 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 75% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 39% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 10% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,467
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,698
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,382
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,617
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,929
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,363
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,943
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 401 | 12 | 160 |
| February | 274 | 21 | 205 |
| March | 150 | 60 | 385 |
| April | 44 | 137 | 543 |
| May | 4 | 314 | 775 |
| June | 0 | 459 | 909 |
| July | 0 | 530 | 995 |
| August | 0 | 532 | 997 |
| September | 1 | 391 | 840 |
| October | 40 | 179 | 606 |
| November | 197 | 43 | 317 |
| December | 356 | 21 | 197 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.4 km from Sunset. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00163800 (Grand Coteau). Public domain.