Luling Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for New Orleans Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 30 and the first fall freeze around December 31, a growing season of about 333 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 16, first December 9
- Median at 32°F
- last January 30, first December 31
- Median at 28°F
- last January 20, first January 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 |
| 32°F | Feb 27 | Feb 18 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 | Dec 29 |
| 28°F | Feb 14 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 24 |
| 24°F | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 22 | Jan 18 | Jan 13 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 16 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 |
| 32°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 31 |
| 28°F | Dec 11 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 19 | Jan 28 | Feb 6 |
| 24°F | Dec 24 | Jan 2 | Jan 5 | Jan 8 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 21 | Jan 28 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 332 | 320 | 311 | 304 | 297 | 290 | 282 | 273 | 261 |
| 32°F | 365 | 359 | 350 | 339 | 333 | 326 | 318 | 308 | 296 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 347 | 337 | 327 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 352 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 87% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 50% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 17% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,176
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,206
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,166
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,374
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,640
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,011
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,529
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 350 | 18 | 196 |
| February | 226 | 32 | 249 |
| March | 119 | 81 | 433 |
| April | 27 | 180 | 603 |
| May | 1 | 378 | 842 |
| June | 0 | 520 | 970 |
| July | 0 | 587 | 1,052 |
| August | 0 | 587 | 1,052 |
| September | 0 | 474 | 924 |
| October | 21 | 252 | 696 |
| November | 143 | 67 | 380 |
| December | 291 | 30 | 241 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13 km from Luling. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00012916 (New Orleans Intl AP). Public domain.