Kinder Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oberlin Fire Twr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 1 and the first fall freeze around November 24, a growing season of about 267 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 19, first November 11
- Median at 32°F
- last March 1, first November 24
- Median at 28°F
- last February 12, first December 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 9 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 |
| 32°F | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 1 |
| 28°F | Mar 11 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 17 |
| 28°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 15 |
| 24°F | Dec 2 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Feb 3 |
| 20°F | Dec 20 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 19 | Jan 31 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 265 | 257 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 232 | 226 | 219 | 213 |
| 32°F | 302 | 289 | 281 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 248 | 239 |
| 28°F | 343 | 331 | 322 | 311 | 305 | 297 | 288 | 280 | 267 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 352 | 341 | 334 | 329 | 319 | 303 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 336 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 75% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 31% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 8% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,851
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,411
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,735
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,011
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,392
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,906
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,570
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 495 | 6 | 110 |
| February | 338 | 12 | 158 |
| March | 198 | 42 | 329 |
| April | 68 | 109 | 493 |
| May | 9 | 272 | 729 |
| June | 0 | 424 | 874 |
| July | 0 | 499 | 964 |
| August | 0 | 505 | 970 |
| September | 3 | 360 | 807 |
| October | 63 | 142 | 546 |
| November | 244 | 29 | 268 |
| December | 433 | 11 | 144 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15 km from Kinder. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00166938 (Oberlin Fire Twr). Public domain.