Gramercy Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Reserve. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 9 and the first fall freeze around December 14, a growing season of about 308 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 27, first November 28
- Median at 32°F
- last February 9, first December 14
- Median at 28°F
- last January 28, first January 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 1 |
| 32°F | Mar 11 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Feb 26 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 6 | Dec 28 |
| 24°F | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 24 | Jan 19 | Jan 14 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Feb 4 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 19 | Jan 14 | Jan 11 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 22 |
| 32°F | Nov 21 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Dec 2 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Jan 26 | Feb 4 |
| 20°F | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 11 | Jan 13 | Jan 17 | Jan 21 | Jan 27 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 307 | 296 | 287 | 280 | 275 | 268 | 263 | 254 | 244 |
| 32°F | 345 | 334 | 325 | 315 | 308 | 300 | 292 | 283 | 272 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 359 | 350 | 342 | 336 | 329 | 317 | 304 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 345 | 334 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 79% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 41% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 13% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 4% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,342
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,870
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,666
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,884
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,171
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,576
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,131
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 390 | 6 | 153 |
| February | 249 | 15 | 214 |
| March | 139 | 53 | 388 |
| April | 39 | 145 | 557 |
| May | 2 | 329 | 792 |
| June | 0 | 478 | 928 |
| July | 0 | 563 | 1,028 |
| August | 0 | 563 | 1,028 |
| September | 0 | 440 | 889 |
| October | 29 | 213 | 651 |
| November | 170 | 47 | 338 |
| December | 325 | 19 | 206 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.6 km from Gramercy. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00167767 (Reserve). Public domain.