Glenmora Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elizabeth. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 3 and the first fall freeze around November 25, a growing season of about 268 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 20, first November 10
- Median at 32°F
- last March 3, first November 25
- Median at 28°F
- last February 14, first December 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 32°F | Mar 28 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 4 |
| 28°F | Mar 12 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 16 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Feb 19 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 |
| 28°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 22 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Dec 15 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 20 | Feb 1 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 268 | 257 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 218 | 209 |
| 32°F | 301 | 289 | 281 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 254 | 246 | 235 |
| 28°F | 338 | 328 | 320 | 311 | 305 | 297 | 288 | 280 | 265 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 356 | 346 | 339 | 333 | 325 | 314 | 302 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 333 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 80% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 35% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 8% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,794
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,532
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,903
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,166
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,526
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,031
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,693
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 482 | 6 | 109 |
| February | 326 | 14 | 165 |
| March | 189 | 49 | 342 |
| April | 68 | 117 | 500 |
| May | 6 | 280 | 739 |
| June | 0 | 448 | 898 |
| July | 0 | 530 | 995 |
| August | 0 | 532 | 996 |
| September | 1 | 384 | 832 |
| October | 64 | 135 | 539 |
| November | 232 | 27 | 270 |
| December | 426 | 9 | 141 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 23.6 km from Glenmora. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00162800 (Elizabeth). Public domain.