Cade Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for St Martinville 3 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 21 and the first fall freeze around November 27, a growing season of about 280 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 7, first November 14
- Median at 32°F
- last February 21, first November 27
- Median at 28°F
- last February 1, first December 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 |
| 32°F | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
| 28°F | Mar 4 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Dec 30 | Dec 18 |
| 20°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 4 |
| 32°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 28 |
| 28°F | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 21 |
| 24°F | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 285 | 272 | 264 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 233 | 223 |
| 32°F | 319 | 305 | 295 | 287 | 280 | 273 | 266 | 259 | 248 |
| 28°F | 358 | 342 | 334 | 328 | 319 | 311 | 303 | 293 | 277 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 354 | 347 | 338 | 332 | 317 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 345 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 63% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 21% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 6% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,549
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,619
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,226
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,470
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,797
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,247
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,846
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 427 | 12 | 149 |
| February | 287 | 18 | 194 |
| March | 159 | 50 | 368 |
| April | 49 | 125 | 528 |
| May | 5 | 306 | 766 |
| June | 0 | 447 | 897 |
| July | 0 | 521 | 986 |
| August | 0 | 521 | 986 |
| September | 1 | 389 | 838 |
| October | 43 | 170 | 592 |
| November | 197 | 39 | 311 |
| December | 381 | 20 | 183 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.4 km from Cade. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00168181 (St Martinville 3 Sw). Public domain.