Blanchard Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mooringsport 1 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 6 and the first fall freeze around November 19, a growing season of about 257 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 21, first November 7
- Median at 32°F
- last March 6, first November 19
- Median at 28°F
- last February 21, first December 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 32°F | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 |
| 28°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 |
| 24°F | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 4 |
| 20°F | Feb 18 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 8 | Jan 3 | Dec 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | Dec 10 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 22 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | Dec 20 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 255 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 208 |
| 32°F | 283 | 274 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 239 | 230 |
| 28°F | 320 | 307 | 300 | 292 | 285 | 279 | 272 | 266 | 255 |
| 24°F | 358 | 346 | 337 | 331 | 323 | 314 | 306 | 299 | 286 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 353 | 345 | 338 | 332 | 320 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 340 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 65% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 28% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,323
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,457
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,362
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,700
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,162
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,765
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,525
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 595 | 2 | 69 |
| February | 427 | 5 | 110 |
| March | 265 | 24 | 260 |
| April | 90 | 84 | 448 |
| May | 12 | 257 | 710 |
| June | 0 | 441 | 891 |
| July | 0 | 575 | 1,040 |
| August | 0 | 564 | 1,029 |
| September | 2 | 360 | 808 |
| October | 86 | 121 | 503 |
| November | 310 | 21 | 210 |
| December | 538 | 3 | 83 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.2 km from Blanchard. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00166364 (Mooringsport 1 N). Public domain.