Wilmore Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dix Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 206 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 22
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 204 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 169 | 163 |
| 32°F | 224 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 184 |
| 28°F | 244 | 239 | 234 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 212 | 207 |
| 24°F | 269 | 261 | 254 | 248 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 224 |
| 20°F | 298 | 286 | 278 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 248 | 240 |
| 16°F | 324 | 314 | 306 | 300 | 293 | 285 | 279 | 273 | 261 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,180
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,288
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,837
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,445
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,197
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,084
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,110
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 902 | 0 | 15 |
| February | 720 | 0 | 20 |
| March | 547 | 3 | 93 |
| April | 244 | 25 | 267 |
| May | 75 | 110 | 501 |
| June | 5 | 269 | 714 |
| July | 0 | 366 | 831 |
| August | 1 | 324 | 787 |
| September | 32 | 155 | 573 |
| October | 210 | 35 | 312 |
| November | 585 | 2 | 70 |
| December | 859 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.4 km from Wilmore. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00152214 (Dix Dam). Public domain.