Walton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cincinnati Northern Ky AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 188 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 7 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 22 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 189 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 32°F | 209 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 173 | 166 |
| 28°F | 234 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 209 | 204 | 198 | 190 |
| 24°F | 259 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 225 | 219 | 212 |
| 20°F | 285 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 231 |
| 16°F | 309 | 300 | 292 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 251 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,892
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,160
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,288
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,979
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,814
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,788
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,902
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,043 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 847 | 0 | 12 |
| March | 664 | 3 | 62 |
| April | 328 | 16 | 200 |
| May | 118 | 90 | 441 |
| June | 13 | 233 | 670 |
| July | 1 | 340 | 804 |
| August | 2 | 309 | 772 |
| September | 53 | 146 | 544 |
| October | 296 | 23 | 232 |
| November | 617 | 1 | 56 |
| December | 911 | 0 | 13 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.3 km from Walton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093814 (Cincinnati Northern Ky AP). Public domain.