Radcliff Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elizabethtown Wp Cs. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 191 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 |
| 32°F | May 4 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 188 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 151 |
| 32°F | 210 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 168 |
| 28°F | 235 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 200 | 194 |
| 24°F | 263 | 254 | 247 | 241 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 216 |
| 20°F | 288 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 238 |
| 16°F | 313 | 304 | 298 | 291 | 285 | 280 | 273 | 266 | 257 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,565
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,136
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,419
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,072
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,868
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,810
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,898
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 987 | 0 | 11 |
| February | 779 | 0 | 18 |
| March | 611 | 2 | 66 |
| April | 302 | 15 | 214 |
| May | 100 | 84 | 452 |
| June | 9 | 237 | 678 |
| July | 1 | 337 | 801 |
| August | 1 | 304 | 767 |
| September | 42 | 136 | 545 |
| October | 273 | 20 | 244 |
| November | 596 | 1 | 57 |
| December | 865 | 0 | 15 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.9 km from Radcliff. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00152512 (Elizabethtown Wp Cs). Public domain.