Montgomery County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mt Sterling. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 18, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 18
- Median at 28°F
- last April 13, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 174 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 135 |
| 32°F | 195 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 162 | 155 |
| 28°F | 220 | 213 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 177 |
| 24°F | 243 | 235 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 207 | 200 |
| 20°F | 268 | 260 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 219 |
| 16°F | 297 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 242 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,046
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 989
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,985
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,695
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,553
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,553
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,698
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,032 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 853 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 681 | 2 | 58 |
| April | 364 | 13 | 179 |
| May | 135 | 76 | 413 |
| June | 16 | 202 | 636 |
| July | 2 | 306 | 769 |
| August | 5 | 258 | 718 |
| September | 69 | 117 | 499 |
| October | 324 | 16 | 205 |
| November | 643 | 1 | 46 |
| December | 924 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.2 km from Montgomery County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00155640 (Mt Sterling). Public domain.