Middlesboro Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tazewell. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 177 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 10, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 177 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 139 |
| 32°F | 198 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 163 | 156 |
| 28°F | 220 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 177 |
| 24°F | 246 | 236 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 202 |
| 20°F | 275 | 266 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 224 |
| 16°F | 308 | 297 | 290 | 283 | 276 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,786
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 893
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,949
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,624
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,464
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,461
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,602
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 981 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 785 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 639 | 0 | 49 |
| April | 350 | 6 | 170 |
| May | 132 | 56 | 396 |
| June | 16 | 177 | 610 |
| July | 1 | 280 | 744 |
| August | 2 | 250 | 713 |
| September | 51 | 113 | 512 |
| October | 317 | 12 | 205 |
| November | 633 | 0 | 40 |
| December | 879 | 0 | 10 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.2 km from Middlesboro. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00408868 (Tazewell). Public domain.