Larue County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hodgenville Lincoln P. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 191 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 150 |
| 32°F | 212 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 188 | 184 | 178 | 170 |
| 28°F | 236 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 24°F | 264 | 254 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 223 | 216 |
| 20°F | 290 | 281 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 244 | 236 |
| 16°F | 316 | 304 | 298 | 292 | 286 | 281 | 276 | 267 | 257 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,208
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,219
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,741
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,338
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,085
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,978
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,021
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 936 | 0 | 14 |
| February | 723 | 0 | 23 |
| March | 552 | 4 | 93 |
| April | 257 | 24 | 256 |
| May | 90 | 95 | 472 |
| June | 9 | 242 | 682 |
| July | 0 | 346 | 811 |
| August | 1 | 318 | 781 |
| September | 40 | 157 | 567 |
| October | 236 | 33 | 288 |
| November | 538 | 2 | 79 |
| December | 826 | 0 | 20 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.6 km from Larue County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00153929 (Hodgenville Lincoln P). Public domain.