Grayson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grayson 2 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 172 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 137 |
| 32°F | 191 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 154 |
| 28°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 171 |
| 24°F | 240 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 203 | 196 |
| 20°F | 267 | 258 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 218 |
| 16°F | 297 | 288 | 280 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 249 | 241 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,952
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 980
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,981
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,680
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,536
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,540
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,687
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,010 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 832 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 687 | 2 | 51 |
| April | 354 | 13 | 178 |
| May | 139 | 67 | 398 |
| June | 17 | 196 | 630 |
| July | 1 | 305 | 769 |
| August | 2 | 267 | 730 |
| September | 60 | 117 | 508 |
| October | 326 | 13 | 200 |
| November | 636 | 0 | 42 |
| December | 890 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.5 km from Grayson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00153389 (Grayson 2 E). Public domain.