Graves County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Murray. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 5 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 16, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 5, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 24, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
| 20°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 206 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 169 |
| 32°F | 230 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 188 |
| 28°F | 256 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 210 |
| 24°F | 283 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 247 | 240 | 232 |
| 20°F | 309 | 299 | 291 | 285 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 263 | 254 |
| 16°F | 336 | 327 | 319 | 312 | 306 | 300 | 294 | 285 | 275 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,861
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,638
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,410
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,969
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,670
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,514
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,503
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 883 | 0 | 18 |
| February | 685 | 1 | 33 |
| March | 491 | 8 | 122 |
| April | 208 | 42 | 308 |
| May | 56 | 148 | 557 |
| June | 3 | 328 | 775 |
| July | 0 | 439 | 904 |
| August | 0 | 406 | 871 |
| September | 24 | 217 | 644 |
| October | 207 | 46 | 322 |
| November | 514 | 4 | 92 |
| December | 789 | 0 | 26 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 33 km from Graves County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00155694 (Murray). Public domain.